Efects of human mobility and behavior on disease transmission in a COVID‑19 mathematical model

Autor
Gutiérrez-Jara, Juan P.
Vogt-Geisse, Katia
Cabrera, Maritza
Córdova-Lepe, Fernando
Muñoz-Quezada, María Teresa
Fecha
2022Resumen
Human interactions and perceptions about health risk are essential to understand the evolution over the course of a pandemic. We present a Susceptible-Exposed-Asymptomatic-Infectious-Recovered-Susceptible mathematical model with quarantine and social-distance-dependent transmission rates, to study COVID-19 dynamics. Human activities are split across different location settings: home, work, school, and elsewhere. Individuals move from home to the other locations at rates dependent on their epidemiological conditions and maintain a social distancing behavior, which varies with their location. We perform simulations and analyze how distinct social behaviors and restrictive measures affect the dynamic of the disease within a population. The model proposed in this study revealed that the main focus on the transmission of COVID-19 is attributed to the “home” location setting, which is understood as family gatherings including relatives and close friends. Limiting encounters at work, school and other locations will only be effective if COVID-19 restrictions occur simultaneously at all those locations and/or contact tracing or social distancing measures are effectively and strictly implemented, especially at the home setting.
Fuente
Scientific Reports, 12(1), 10840Link de Acceso
Click aquí para ver el documentoIdentificador DOI
doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-14155-4Colecciones
La publicación tiene asociados los siguientes ficheros de licencia: